boogerdave
Nitrous
It's Ike that I'm worried about. It is heading due west haulin ass and they expect it to be in the Florida Straits by the weekend and then take a northerly hook. Its a long way off but if it even gets to the gulf my neighbors will head for the hills. This is the forecast from Impact Weather . .
There is very good model consensus on Ike's track over the next 5-7 days. Strong high pressure to the north should push Ike nearly due west, perhaps even a little to the south of due west at times. This would take the center of Ike about 150-200 miles to the north of the islands of the northeast Caribbean on Friday morning and about 100-150 miles north of the Dominican Republic on Saturday morning. By Sunday morning, we think that Ike will be located between the southern Bahamas and eastern Cuba. Confidence in the 5-day track is average to a little above average.
As for Ike's long-range forecast, most model guidance is in good agreement in taking Ike westward beyond day 5 and into the southeastern or south-central Gulf of Mexico late on Monday, September 8th or on Tuesday, the 9th. We think that there such a track is likely. What's unclear is if Ike will move over a significant part of Cuba or track through the Florida Straits. Once Ike enters the southeastern Gulf, there are indications that high pressure north of the center will be weakening. This could allow for a northerly turn toward the northeast Gulf Coast by Wednesday or Thursday of next week.
I live about 25 miles inland from Fort Walton Beach . . between Pensacola and Panama City.
There is very good model consensus on Ike's track over the next 5-7 days. Strong high pressure to the north should push Ike nearly due west, perhaps even a little to the south of due west at times. This would take the center of Ike about 150-200 miles to the north of the islands of the northeast Caribbean on Friday morning and about 100-150 miles north of the Dominican Republic on Saturday morning. By Sunday morning, we think that Ike will be located between the southern Bahamas and eastern Cuba. Confidence in the 5-day track is average to a little above average.
As for Ike's long-range forecast, most model guidance is in good agreement in taking Ike westward beyond day 5 and into the southeastern or south-central Gulf of Mexico late on Monday, September 8th or on Tuesday, the 9th. We think that there such a track is likely. What's unclear is if Ike will move over a significant part of Cuba or track through the Florida Straits. Once Ike enters the southeastern Gulf, there are indications that high pressure north of the center will be weakening. This could allow for a northerly turn toward the northeast Gulf Coast by Wednesday or Thursday of next week.
I live about 25 miles inland from Fort Walton Beach . . between Pensacola and Panama City.