Yes, the orange circuit is what is currently tripping (the blue one before)
No need to disconnect the orange - if it's tripped the brake light power cannot be coming from there regardless, since it has to go via either of the two brake switches to get to the lamp.
The brake light (common output from the two switches and to brake light circuit element) is also connected to the ABS Module - but that would be an input (to tell the ABS module when brake is actually being applied) and I can't see any scenario whereby the orange circuit being out would apply power OUT of the ABS module to the lamp
The orange circuit is directly connected to
The Horn
The Turn Signal Module
The Input Pole of both Brake Switches
The Brake Light is connected to
Each of of the Output Poles of the Brake Switches
The ABS Module
When the brake switches are not made, then no current flows from the Orange circuit to the Brake Light
When the Orange circuit is tripped, obviously no current can flow from it, especially through 'open' switches
Which begs the question, could it be getting power OUT of the ABS module?
Well why would it? The ABS module is clueless that the Orange circuit has tripped right? There is no connection from Orange circuit into the ABS or any other related components - and the brake light input to ABS is no different than if the brake switches were simply not 'made' i.e. open. So what could possibly trigger the ABS to OUTPUT voltage to the brake lamp? It seems unlikely